Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1451.715397 1689.366732 1967.234582 2319.590515 2759.502001 3297.380829 4.015483e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1115.009390 1404.120586 1780.614236 2319.785483 3094.757490 4206.650275 5.999917e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 934.095500 1230.257897 1640.851140 2273.985643 3269.823804 4862.462783 7.811857e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 831.403781 1136.569325 1582.591168 2316.099765 3567.718306 5786.085017 1.050803e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 726.312892 1019.512096 1464.626986 2232.235408 3625.747880 6304.914973 1.271336e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 647.876915 930.059767 1372.624756 2168.200167 3695.035405 6860.719759 1.534660e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 582.797095 852.478238 1287.200808 2097.013128 3728.812416 7351.231364 1.817104e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 559.275965 837.610923 1302.184344 2208.383718 4156.210486 8904.636499 2.550266e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 531.906594 812.736676 1295.669234 2276.330584 4509.835518 10451.116427 3.474662e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 507.670840 790.159324 1289.604675 2343.118119 4881.034896 12251.537778 4.795698e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 476.484561 752.168815 1250.113328 2332.186991 5058.493664 13572.450600 6.150210e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 459.535510 737.615759 1252.818723 2413.333061 5503.519957 16091.465695 8.941384e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 441.219891 720.932831 1253.521024 2501.238262 6036.109277 19535.540792 1.417800e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 416.619953 690.575398 1223.913070 2514.540419 6367.789105 22562.782283 2.137727e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 389.017310 651.721270 1171.698411 2461.184655 6469.756726 24658.680419 2.964645e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 372.733728 633.101068 1159.688706 2508.402978 6935.230567 29292.670156 5.146593e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 347.064018 593.871619 1098.873633 2415.261130 6868.288553 30787.223450 6.934022e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 325.525543 561.203222 1049.170390 2344.307021 6864.882648 32796.695845 9.922900e+05
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 305.385071 529.880471 999.461234 2265.485315 6807.941714 34459.725715 1.406262e+06
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 300.707019 529.476020 1019.317145 2388.832725 7633.514283 44602.585076 4.588840e+06
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 293.009727 522.166671 1022.400064 2464.185651 8303.690769 55353.265741 1.961222e+07
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 285.631674 514.896402 1024.725663 2538.324797 9020.471256 69162.018251 2.583475e+08
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 273.978430 497.651385 1001.205046 2526.185615 9311.488444 79003.216409 6.325915e+10